← Explore · Market 3399468
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
70.5% implied · bid 70.0¢ · ask 71.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 71.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability71.0%
Bid / ask / mid70.0¢ / 71.0¢ / 70.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 59/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,795
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$10,810 / $17,549
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score59.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.27
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.36pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 128d 22h.
Time to resolve128d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%