← Explore · Market 3491438
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
6.0% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 7.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 6.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability6.0%
Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 6.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (33.3%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-5.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$220
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,890 / $1,204
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.58
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.32pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 98d 4h.
Time to resolve98d 4h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%