← Explore · Market 3491459
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
4.2% implied · bid 3.6¢ · ask 4.7¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 3.7%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.
Implied probability3.7%
Bid / ask / mid3.6¢ / 4.7¢ / 4.2¢
Spread1.1¢ (26.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.85pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$15
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,616 / $1,813
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.66
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.31pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 68d 3h.
Time to resolve68d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%