← Explore · Market 3501951
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
23.5% implied · bid 23.0¢ · ask 24.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 24.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability24.0%
Bid / ask / mid23.0¢ / 24.0¢ / 23.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.3%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d-3.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$11,672
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,704 / $4,058
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score50.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 40 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.97
RSI (14, hourly)40.0
Realized vol 7d0.41pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 97d 22h.
Time to resolve97d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%