← Explore · Market 3501952

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

1.4% implied · bid 1.3¢ · ask 1.5¢

The market prices this at 1.5%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability1.5%

Bid / ask / mid1.3¢ / 1.5¢ / 1.4¢

Spread0.2¢ (14.3%)

Change 24h-0.25pt

Change 7d-2.05pt

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$15,574

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,272 / $2,192

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score51.2 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.62

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.09pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 20d 22h.

Time to resolve20d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%