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← Explore · Market 3502549

SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?

39.5% implied · bid 39.0¢ · ask 40.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 40.0%, up 12.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability40.0%
Bid / ask / mid39.0¢ / 40.0¢ / 39.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.5%)
Change 24h+12.00pt
Change 7d+19.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 73% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$2,921
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$465 / $6
Imbalance73% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.41
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d1.28pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 37d 2h.

Time to resolve37d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth