← Explore · Market 3518317
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-08-24?
2.5% implied · bid 2.0¢ · ask 3.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 20.0%, down 27.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability20.0%
Bid / ask / mid2.0¢ / 3.0¢ / 2.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (40.0%)
Change 24h-27.50pt
Change 7d-25.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$15,339
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$144 / $399
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 12 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 5.2σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-5.21
RSI (14, hourly)12.3
Realized vol 7d2.30pt
Change 1h-24.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%