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← Explore · Market 3521057

Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-08-24?

0.1% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 0.1¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.7%, down 41.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.7%
Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 0.1¢ / 0.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (200.0%)
Change 24h-41.45pt
Change 7d-40.45pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$38,981
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $270
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)4
Liquidity score49.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 3 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 7.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-7.51
RSI (14, hourly)3.4
Realized vol 7d2.79pt
Change 1h-4.45pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth