← Explore · Market 3539672
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in August?
8.0% implied · bid 6.1¢ · ask 9.8¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 12.9%, down 1.1pt over 24h, on a 3.7¢ spread.
Implied probability12.9%
Bid / ask / mid6.1¢ / 9.8¢ / 8.0¢
Spread3.7¢ (46.5%)
Change 24h-1.15pt
Change 7d-2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 32/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$50
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$63 / $19
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score31.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 52 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.49
RSI (14, hourly)51.8
Realized vol 7d0.65pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 17d 2h.
Time to resolve17d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%