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← Explore · Market 3539673

Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?

29.5% implied · bid 28.0¢ · ask 31.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 28.0%, up 3.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability28.0%
Bid / ask / mid28.0¢ / 31.0¢ / 29.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (10.2%)
Change 24h+3.50pt
Change 7d-3.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 31% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$243
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$206 / $283
Imbalance31% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.01
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.95pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 17d 2h.

Time to resolve17d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth