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← Explore · Market 3539674

Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?

45.0% implied · bid 44.0¢ · ask 46.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 46.0%, up 2.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability46.0%
Bid / ask / mid44.0¢ / 46.0¢ / 45.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (4.4%)
Change 24h+2.50pt
Change 7d+3.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 77% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$1,302
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,526 / $403
Imbalance77% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 83 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.27
RSI (14, hourly)83.3
Realized vol 7d0.39pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 17d 2h.

Time to resolve17d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth