← Explore · Market 3539674
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?
45.0% implied · bid 44.0¢ · ask 46.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 46.0%, up 2.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability46.0%
Bid / ask / mid44.0¢ / 46.0¢ / 45.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (4.4%)
Change 24h+2.50pt
Change 7d+3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 77% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$1,302
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,526 / $403
Imbalance77% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 83 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.27
RSI (14, hourly)83.3
Realized vol 7d0.39pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 17d 2h.
Time to resolve17d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%