← Explore · Market 3539675
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?
19.5% implied · bid 18.0¢ · ask 21.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 18.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability18.0%
Bid / ask / mid18.0¢ / 21.0¢ / 19.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7d+6.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 34% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$788
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$311 / $320
Imbalance34% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.48
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.75pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 17d 2h.
Time to resolve17d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%