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← Explore · Market 3539706

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August?

36.4% implied · bid 33.9¢ · ask 38.9¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 32.7%, up 1.7pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability32.7%
Bid / ask / mid33.9¢ / 38.9¢ / 36.4¢
Spread5.0¢ (13.7%)
Change 24h+1.70pt
Change 7d+16.60pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$60
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$19 / $50
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 52 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.96
RSI (14, hourly)52.5
Realized vol 7d2.64pt
Change 1h+0.20pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 17d 2h.

Time to resolve17d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth