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← Explore · Market 3539707

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20–$2.30 in August?

23.3% implied · bid 21.6¢ · ask 25.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 36.8%, down 3.7pt over 24h, on a 3.4¢ spread.

Implied probability36.8%
Bid / ask / mid21.6¢ / 25.0¢ / 23.3¢
Spread3.4¢ (14.6%)
Change 24h-3.70pt
Change 7d-12.95pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 33/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$33
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11 / $10
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score33.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.85
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d2.89pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 17d 2h.

Time to resolve17d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth