← Explore · Market 3539708
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30–$2.40 in August?
29.5% implied · bid 27.0¢ · ask 32.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 30.0%, up 5.5pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability30.0%
Bid / ask / mid27.0¢ / 32.0¢ / 29.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (16.9%)
Change 24h+5.50pt
Change 7d+4.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 22% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,914
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5 / $6
Imbalance22% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 65 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.02
RSI (14, hourly)64.7
Realized vol 7d1.36pt
Change 1h+3.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 17d 2h.
Time to resolve17d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%