← Explore · Market 3553884
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
43.0% implied · bid 34.0¢ · ask 52.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 34.0%, up 5.5pt over 24h, on a 18.0¢ spread.
Implied probability34.0%
Bid / ask / mid34.0¢ / 52.0¢ / 43.0¢
Spread18.0¢ (41.9%)
Change 24h+5.50pt
Change 7d-3.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 40% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,467
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance40% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 58 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.27
RSI (14, hourly)58.0
Realized vol 7d2.26pt
Change 1h+2.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 128d 22h.
Time to resolve128d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%