← Explore · Market 3553886
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
33.5% implied · bid 33.0¢ · ask 34.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 34.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability34.0%
Bid / ask / mid33.0¢ / 34.0¢ / 33.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-10.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$40
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$114 / $736
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.60
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.31pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 128d 22h.
Time to resolve128d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%