← Explore · Market 3553887
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
41.0% implied · bid 29.0¢ · ask 53.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 38.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 24.0¢ spread.
Implied probability38.0%
Bid / ask / mid29.0¢ / 53.0¢ / 41.0¢
Spread24.0¢ (58.5%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d-4.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 25% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance25% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.50
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d3.79pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 128d 22h.
Time to resolve128d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%