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Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?

89.5% implied · bid 89.0¢ · ask 90.0¢

The market prices this at 71.0%, up 74.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability71.0%

Bid / ask / mid89.0¢ / 90.0¢ / 89.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)

Change 24h+74.00pt

Change 7d+1.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 36% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,149

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$228 / $282

Imbalance36% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.3 / 100

RSI 95 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.78

RSI (14, hourly)95.2

Realized vol 7d6.24pt

Change 1h+20.00pt

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%