← Explore · Market 3554101
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?
87.0% implied · bid 86.0¢ · ask 88.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 88.0%, up 77.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability88.0%
Bid / ask / mid86.0¢ / 88.0¢ / 87.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.3%)
Change 24h+77.00pt
Change 7d+32.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 24% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,400
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$263 / $12
Imbalance24% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 98 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.2σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.19
RSI (14, hourly)98.1
Realized vol 7d5.78pt
Change 1h+3.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 22h.
Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%