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← Explore · Market 3554174

Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?

51.0% implied · bid 50.5¢ · ask 51.5¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 51.8%, up 2.2pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability51.8%
Bid / ask / mid50.5¢ / 51.5¢ / 51.0¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.0%)
Change 24h+2.15pt
Change 7d+30.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,549
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$221 / $152
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.67
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d5.26pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 36d 22h.

Time to resolve36d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth