← Explore · Market 3554657
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
85.5% implied · bid 85.0¢ · ask 86.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 86.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability86.0%
Bid / ask / mid85.0¢ / 86.0¢ / 85.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 50% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$264
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,132 / $3,991
Imbalance50% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.64
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.50pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 67d 22h.
Time to resolve67d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%