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← Explore · Market 3554826

Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?

84.5% implied · bid 84.0¢ · ask 85.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 75.0%, up 12.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability75.0%
Bid / ask / mid84.0¢ / 85.0¢ / 84.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h+12.00pt
Change 7d+11.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,804
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$325 / $482
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 52 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.34
RSI (14, hourly)52.4
Realized vol 7d3.26pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 67d 22h.

Time to resolve67d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth