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← Explore · Market 3558749

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?

74.5% implied · bid 74.0¢ · ask 75.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 75.0%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability75.0%
Bid / ask / mid74.0¢ / 75.0¢ / 74.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+4.00pt
Change 7d+4.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 41% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$61,326
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$164,582 / $195,645
Imbalance41% bid
Large trades (>$1k)9
Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 80 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean4.32
RSI (14, hourly)80.0
Realized vol 7d0.22pt
Change 1h+1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1d 17h.

Time to resolve1d 17h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth