a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market 3558750

Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

15.5% implied · bid 15.0¢ · ask 16.0¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 16.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability16.0%
Bid / ask / mid15.0¢ / 16.0¢ / 15.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (6.5%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-3.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 64/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 44% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$10,280
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$22,531 / $15,995
Imbalance44% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score64.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.90
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.28pt
Change 1h-1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1d 17h.

Time to resolve1d 17h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth