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Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be negative?

18.0% implied · bid 16.0¢ · ask 20.0¢

The market prices this at 18.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability18.0%

Bid / ask / mid16.0¢ / 20.0¢ / 18.0¢

Spread4.0¢ (22.2%)

Change 24h-0.50pt

Change 7d-3.00pt

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$10

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$98 / $59

Imbalance3% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score30.1 / 100

RSI 46 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.56

RSI (14, hourly)46.2

Realized vol 7d0.69pt

Change 1h-2.00pt

Resolves in 78d 22h.

Time to resolve78d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%