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← Explore · Market 3566404

Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%?

19.5% implied · bid 18.0¢ · ask 21.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 21.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability21.0%
Bid / ask / mid18.0¢ / 21.0¢ / 19.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d-10.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,351
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$100 / $54
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 63 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.51
RSI (14, hourly)62.5
Realized vol 7d1.37pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 78d 22h.

Time to resolve78d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth