← Explore · Market 3566405
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?
26.0% implied · bid 24.0¢ · ask 28.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 30.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability30.0%
Bid / ask / mid24.0¢ / 28.0¢ / 26.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+5.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,552
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$47 / $136
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 53 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.23
RSI (14, hourly)52.7
Realized vol 7d1.72pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 78d 22h.
Time to resolve78d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%