← Explore · Market 3566406
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?
23.0% implied · bid 21.0¢ · ask 25.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 20.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability20.0%
Bid / ask / mid21.0¢ / 25.0¢ / 23.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (17.4%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-2.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$55
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$36 / $94
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 64 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.30
RSI (14, hourly)64.3
Realized vol 7d0.93pt
Change 1h+1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 78d 22h.
Time to resolve78d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%