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← Explore · Market 3566686

Will PPI YoY be 4.9% in August?

10.5% implied · bid 10.0¢ · ask 11.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 11.0%, down 2.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid10.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 10.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (9.5%)
Change 24h-2.50pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$20
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$37 / $37
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 38 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.09
RSI (14, hourly)38.1
Realized vol 7d1.09pt
Change 1h-2.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 16d 22h.

Time to resolve16d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth