← Explore · Market 3584361
Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026?
11.0% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 15.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 24.0%, down 2.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.
Implied probability24.0%
Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 11.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (72.7%)
Change 24h-2.50pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14 / $150
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 6.9σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean6.87
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.63pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 22d 2h.
Time to resolve22d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%