← Explore · Market 3584362
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
60.5% implied · bid 52.0¢ · ask 69.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 65.0%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 17.0¢ spread.
Implied probability65.0%
Bid / ask / mid52.0¢ / 69.0¢ / 60.5¢
Spread17.0¢ (28.1%)
Change 24h+4.00pt
Change 7d+2.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 31% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$56
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance31% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.31
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d1.57pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 68d 2h.
Time to resolve68d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%