← Explore · Market 3585429
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?
21.5% implied · bid 21.0¢ · ask 22.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 20.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability20.0%
Bid / ask / mid21.0¢ / 22.0¢ / 21.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,110 / $720
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.24
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.05pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 160d 3h.
Time to resolve160d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%