← Explore · Market 3585430
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
43.5% implied · bid 43.0¢ · ask 44.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 42.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability42.0%
Bid / ask / mid43.0¢ / 44.0¢ / 43.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.3%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-11.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 14% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$360 / $584
Imbalance14% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.37
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.96pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 494d 3h.
Time to resolve494d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%