← Explore · Market 3585431
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?
22.5% implied · bid 22.0¢ · ask 23.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 23.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability23.0%
Bid / ask / mid22.0¢ / 23.0¢ / 22.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,127 / $387
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 7184281682683.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean7184281682683.07
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 188d 3h.
Time to resolve188d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%