← Explore · Market 3585432
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?
32.0% implied · bid 31.0¢ · ask 33.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 33.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability33.0%
Bid / ask / mid31.0¢ / 33.0¢ / 32.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (6.3%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$90
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$673 / $488
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.60
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.49pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 310d 2h.
Time to resolve310d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%