← Explore · Market 3592036

Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?

40.0% implied · bid 39.0¢ · ask 41.0¢

The market prices this at 41.0%, up 8.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability41.0%

Bid / ask / mid39.0¢ / 41.0¢ / 40.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (5.0%)

Change 24h+8.50pt

Change 7d-46.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$854

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$128 / $232

Imbalance4% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score40.2 / 100

RSI 51 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.25

RSI (14, hourly)51.4

Realized vol 7d5.92pt

Change 1h-0.50pt

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%