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Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?

55.3% implied · bid 54.7¢ · ask 55.8¢

The market prices this at 54.5%, down 8.2pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.

Implied probability54.5%

Bid / ask / mid54.7¢ / 55.8¢ / 55.3¢

Spread1.1¢ (2.0%)

Change 24h-8.20pt

Change 7d+45.20pt

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,022

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$492 / $218

Imbalance3% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score44.9 / 100

RSI 47 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.26

RSI (14, hourly)46.6

Realized vol 7d4.36pt

Change 1h+0.80pt

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%