← Explore · Market 3592038

Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?

0.7% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 0.9¢

The market prices this at 0.7%, down 1.1pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.

Implied probability0.7%

Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 0.9¢ / 0.7¢

Spread0.4¢ (57.1%)

Change 24h-1.15pt

Change 7d+0.20pt

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$625

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15 / $19

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.0 / 100

RSI 40 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.47

RSI (14, hourly)40.0

Realized vol 7d3.15pt

Change 1h+0.05pt

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%