← Explore · Market 3592039
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?
2.3% implied · bid 1.2¢ · ask 3.3¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.7%, up 1.4pt over 24h, on a 2.1¢ spread.
Implied probability2.7%
Bid / ask / mid1.2¢ / 3.3¢ / 2.3¢
Spread2.1¢ (93.3%)
Change 24h+1.45pt
Change 7d-3.25pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 40/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$494
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4 / $7
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score39.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 56 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.59
RSI (14, hourly)56.0
Realized vol 7d0.46pt
Change 1h-0.25pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 22h.
Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%