← Explore · Market 3595818

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?

64.3% implied · bid 64.0¢ · ask 64.5¢

The market prices this at 62.5%, up 27.5pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability62.5%

Bid / ask / mid64.0¢ / 64.5¢ / 64.3¢

Spread0.5¢ (0.8%)

Change 24h+27.50pt

Change 7d+63.80pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$37,828

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,397 / $1,218

Imbalance3% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score48.8 / 100

RSI 87 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.02

RSI (14, hourly)86.5

Realized vol 7d1.46pt

Change 1h+5.40pt

Resolves in 0d 15h.

Time to resolve0d 15h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%