← Explore · Market 3595820
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
5.3% implied · bid 4.8¢ · ask 5.8¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 6.0%, down 4.2pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability6.0%
Bid / ask / mid4.8¢ / 5.8¢ / 5.3¢
Spread1.0¢ (18.9%)
Change 24h-4.15pt
Change 7d+4.95pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$50,744
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$861 / $140
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 58 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.14
RSI (14, hourly)57.6
Realized vol 7d1.31pt
Change 1h-0.55pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 15h.
Time to resolve0d 15h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%