← Explore · Market 3660163
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?
60.5% implied · bid 59.0¢ · ask 62.0¢
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The market prices this at 58.0%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability58.0%
Bid / ask / mid59.0¢ / 62.0¢ / 60.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (5.0%)
Change 24h+4.00pt
Change 7d+39.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,729
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$202 / $605
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 70 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.36
RSI (14, hourly)69.6
Realized vol 7d6.96pt
Change 1h+1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 40d 4h.
Time to resolve40d 4h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%