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← Explore · Market 3660698

Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?

82.0% implied · bid 80.0¢ · ask 84.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 80.0%, up 10.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability80.0%
Bid / ask / mid80.0¢ / 84.0¢ / 82.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (4.9%)
Change 24h+10.50pt
Change 7d+26.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 78% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$4,724
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$94 / $351
Imbalance78% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score30.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 89 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.11
RSI (14, hourly)88.9
Realized vol 7d4.63pt
Change 1h+1.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 40d 4h.

Time to resolve40d 4h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth