← Explore · Market 3667936
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?
23.5% implied · bid 23.0¢ · ask 24.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 23.0%, down 16.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability23.0%
Bid / ask / mid23.0¢ / 24.0¢ / 23.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.3%)
Change 24h-16.50pt
Change 7d-29.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,204
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$207 / $212
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 35 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.9σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.85
RSI (14, hourly)34.6
Realized vol 7d2.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 37d 2h.
Time to resolve37d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%