← Explore · Market 3667937
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
59.5% implied · bid 59.0¢ · ask 60.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 52.0%, down 10.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability52.0%
Bid / ask / mid59.0¢ / 60.0¢ / 59.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.7%)
Change 24h-10.00pt
Change 7d+11.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 12% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$744
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$91 / $321
Imbalance12% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 37 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 3.8σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-3.76
RSI (14, hourly)36.7
Realized vol 7d2.26pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 68d 2h.
Time to resolve68d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%