← Explore · Market 3669876
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?
86.0% implied · bid 83.0¢ · ask 89.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 84.0%, up 5.0pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.
Implied probability84.0%
Bid / ask / mid83.0¢ / 89.0¢ / 86.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (7.0%)
Change 24h+5.00pt
Change 7d+28.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 21/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 46% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,245 / $1,691
Imbalance46% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score21.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 92 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.90
RSI (14, hourly)91.7
Realized vol 7d2.64pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 98d 3h.
Time to resolve98d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%