← Explore · Market 3670499
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?
67.5% implied · bid 67.0¢ · ask 68.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 68.0%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability68.0%
Bid / ask / mid67.0¢ / 68.0¢ / 67.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.5%)
Change 24h+4.00pt
Change 7d-10.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 21% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$34,978
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12,953 / $16,339
Imbalance21% bid
Large trades (>$1k)4
Liquidity score59.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 71 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.09
RSI (14, hourly)71.4
Realized vol 7d1.12pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 219d 2h.
Time to resolve219d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%