← Explore · Market 3685324

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on or prior to September 1, 2026?

3.5% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 6.4¢

The market prices this at 8.2%, down 1.4pt over 24h, on a 5.9¢ spread.

Implied probability8.2%

Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 6.4¢ / 3.5¢

Spread5.9¢ (171.0%)

Change 24h-1.40pt

Change 7d-29.05pt

Thin (score 21/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$38

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1 / $41

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score20.5 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.37

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d1.94pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 8d 2h.

Time to resolve8d 2h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%