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← Explore · Market 3685353

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 30, 2026?

5.0% implied · bid 4.0¢ · ask 6.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 6.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability6.0%
Bid / ask / mid4.0¢ / 6.0¢ / 5.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (40.0%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d-39.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$69 / $4
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.54
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d1.67pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 37d 2h.

Time to resolve37d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth